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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense last year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to garner 6.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid's 41.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for tight ends.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league last year.

Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the best TEs in the pass game last year, averaging a fantastic 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by the projections to call just 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Bills have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

With a feeble 62.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (6th percentile) last year, Dalton Kincaid rates among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league last year in pass coverage.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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