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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets.

As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the towering 95th percentile among TEs this year, accruing an astounding 47.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 91st percentile for TEs.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.

Dalton Kincaid's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents an impressive drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 6.2% figure.

The Falcons defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) versus TEs this year.

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