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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to earn 4.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
  • Dalton Kincaid has accrued a whopping 39.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Dalton Kincaid has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 35.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a material reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.2% rate.

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