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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 82nd percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets.
  • Dalton Kincaid has been a key part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 18.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • In regards to air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the lofty 94th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a massive 44.0 per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • With a fantastic 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Dalton Kincaid places as one of the leading pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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