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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • In this week's game, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.0 targets.
  • When talking about air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a massive 39.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dalton Kincaid's 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 43.0.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a remarkable decrease in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 6.2% rate.
  • This year, the stout Jaguars defense has allowed the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a feeble 7.3 yards.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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