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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dalton Kincaid has compiled a monstrous 40.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 44.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a material improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 36.0 figure.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 79.5% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a noteable progression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 62.0% mark.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 11.5 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 6.6 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 36.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.
  • Dalton Kincaid's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.16 rate last season.

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