My Account Log Out
 
 
Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the projection model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.9 targets.
  • Dalton Kincaid has compiled a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Dalton Kincaid has posted a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (47.0) this year than he did last year (36.0).
  • Dalton Kincaid's 81.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 62.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 37.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 43.0.
  • Dalton Kincaid's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.16 rate last season.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™