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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense last year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • The projections expect Dalton Kincaid to garner 6.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Dalton Kincaid has compiled a colossal 45.0 air yards per game last year: 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 41.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 94th percentile for tight ends.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by the projections to call just 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Bills have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • With a feeble 62.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (6th percentile) last year, Dalton Kincaid rates among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends.
  • Last year, the fierce Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a feeble 4.3 YAC.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league last year in pass coverage.

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