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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to total 5.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among TEs.

With an exceptional 17.1% Target% (88th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid rates as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

Dalton Kincaid has posted a whopping 33.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.0 per game) this year.

The Chiefs defense has allowed the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 40.0) vs. tight ends this year.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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