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Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which puts him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Dallas Goedert has accumulated far more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game).

Dallas Goedert has been in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 44.8 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.

Dallas Goedert's 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 83.2% mark.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8