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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-295).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -310 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -295.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

With an impressive 23.1% Red Zone Target% (95th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert has been as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.

Dallas Goedert has accumulated a staggering 41.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Dallas Goedert ranks in the 99th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 1.00 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone run rate.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

Dallas Goedert's 40.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 47.0.

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