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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+345/-400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -445 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -400.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.

Dallas Goedert has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

In regards to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the towering 90th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accruing a whopping 35.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 53.4% red zone run rate.

This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has surrendered a meager 0.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in football.

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