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Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-340).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -325 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -340.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

With a top-tier 26.1% Red Zone Target% (94th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert ranks among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert has totaled a colossal 38.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among TEs.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

Dallas Goedert grades out in the 99th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.67 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

At the moment, the most run-focused team in football in the red zone (53.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17