reorder

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a high 26.2% Red Zone Target Share (94th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in the league.

Dallas Goedert has compiled a staggering 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among TEs.

The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

With an outstanding ratio of 0.64 per game through the air (98th percentile), Dallas Goedert places among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends this year.

This year, the feeble Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded a staggering 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (53.8% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.

Dallas Goedert's 41.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 47.0.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16