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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+345/-380).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -370 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -380.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • With a sizeable 20.6% Red Zone Target Share (90th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the NFL.
  • As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the towering 87th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a striking 39.0 per game.
  • With an impressive ratio of 0.64 per game through the air (99th percentile), Dallas Goedert has been as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Eagles.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.

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