My Account Log Out
 
 
Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Dallas Goedert has accumulated a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Dallas Goedert's 43.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 97th percentile for TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 52.6% red zone run rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™