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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • With an elite 28.0% Red Zone Target% (96th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert places among the TEs with the most usage near the goal line in the league.
  • Dallas Goedert has compiled a staggering 42.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among TEs.
  • Dallas Goedert places in the 97th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with an astounding 43.7 mark this year.
  • Dallas Goedert grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in an excellent 81.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.2% red zone run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.3 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.

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