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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Dallas Goedert to accrue 7.0 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • Dallas Goedert's 49.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 99th percentile for tight ends.
  • The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • Dallas Goedert's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 83.2% to 78.1%.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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