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Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

In this game, Dallas Goedert is predicted by the model to find himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

With a remarkable 3.8 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert places as one of the top pass-catching TEs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 47.0.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 17