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Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-148/+144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Dallas Goedert to earn 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a fantastic 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the top tight ends in the pass game in football.

This year, the feeble Washington Commanders pass defense has conceded a staggering 79.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

The Commanders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.

Dallas Goedert's 41.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 47.0.

Dallas Goedert's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 83.2% to 77.7%.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 16