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Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-126/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

The projections expect Dallas Goedert to accrue 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

With an exceptional 3.8 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates among the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL.

This year, the anemic Bears pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 87.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the highest rate in the league.

The Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 13