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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • This week, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.
  • Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.6% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
  • Dallas Goedert grades out as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.0 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
  • Dallas Goedert's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.2% to 77.0%.

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