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Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The model projects Dallas Goedert to notch 6.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.

With an elite 20.8% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

Dallas Goedert comes in as one of the top pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the best in football.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 10