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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.6 targets.
  • Dallas Goedert has accumulated a staggering 41.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.
  • Dallas Goedert's 40.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 47.0.
  • Dallas Goedert's 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a material decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 46.0 rate.

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