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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.
  • Dallas Goedert has run a route on 81.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • In this game, Dallas Goedert is projected by the projections to place in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Dallas Goedert's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.05 mark last year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.7%) versus TEs since the start of last season (69.7%).
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Broncos defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a meager 6.1 yards.

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