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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Dallas Goedert to accumulate 6.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the towering 86th percentile among TEs this year, accruing an astounding 37.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.5% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Dallas Goedert's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 47.0.

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