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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Dallas Goedert is predicted by the model to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.8 targets.
  • Dallas Goedert has totaled a colossal 38.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among TEs.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • Dallas Goedert is positioned as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 41.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Dallas Goedert's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 47.0.

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