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Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Dallas Goedert to earn 6.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among TEs.

Dallas Goedert has compiled a staggering 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among TEs.

The Eagles O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a remarkable 42.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (88th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert has been among the top pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (71.0) vs. tight ends this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.

Dallas Goedert's 41.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 47.0.

Dallas Goedert's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 83.2% to 77.7%.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16