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Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

The projections expect Dallas Goedert to accrue 5.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.

Dallas Goedert has accumulated a staggering 39.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among TEs.

With a fantastic 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (83rd percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert ranks as one of the leading pass-game TEs in the league.

This year, the anemic Bears pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 87.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

Dallas Goedert Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13