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Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-111/-111).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.This week, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 20.6% this year, which places him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.Dallas Goedert has accumulated a monstrous 42.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among tight ends.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.0 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).Dallas Goedert's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.2% to 77.0%.
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