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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Dallas Goedert is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.1 targets.
  • Dallas Goedert has put up a whopping 43.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among TEs.
  • Dallas Goedert rates in the 98th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 45.2 figure this year.
  • With a terrific 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (90th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have only 126.3 offensive plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.9 plays per game.
  • Dallas Goedert's 79.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a significant drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last year's 83.2% rate.
  • Dallas Goedert's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.05 rate last season.

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