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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-123/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The model projects Dallas Goedert to notch 6.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
  • With an elite 20.8% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • Dallas Goedert has compiled a staggering 42.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • Dallas Goedert's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.05 figure last season.
  • This year, the strong Packers defense has surrendered a meager 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 7th-fewest in football.

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