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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-107/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles last year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).

In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is expected by the model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.2 targets.

As it relates to air yards, Dallas Goedert ranks in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends last year, averaging an astounding 36.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Eagles, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 49.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.

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