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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-111/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to earn 5.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • Dallas Goedert has notched quite a few less air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • Dallas Goedert's 30.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 43.8.

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