My Account Log Out
 
 
Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+810/-850).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -860 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -850.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have been the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Dak Prescott to throw 38.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • Dak Prescott has run for 0.14 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among QBs (76th percentile).
  • This year, the imposing Broncos defense has allowed a paltry 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
  • This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has allowed a puny 1.00 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™