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Dak Prescott Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

Dak Prescott Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -850 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -700.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.

The Cowboys have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.3 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

The predictive model expects Dak Prescott to throw 36.7 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and approaches of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.63 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.

The Cowboys O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Chargers defense this year (65.0% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the strong Chargers defense has given up a mere 0.86 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in football.

More Dak Prescott Player Props

Dak Prescott TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Chargers

Dak Prescott Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16