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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+650/-650).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1050 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -650.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • Dak Prescott has rushed for 0.17 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to QBs (79th percentile).
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a mere 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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