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Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-169).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.Dak Prescott's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.0% to 70.7%.Dak Prescott has been one of the best touchdown passers in football this year, averaging a fantastic 2.00 per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 131.2 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.In this game, Dak Prescott is expected by the projection model to total the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.6. The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
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