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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-174/+136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -178 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a mere 66.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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