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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+163).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +156 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +163.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • The predictive model expects Dak Prescott to throw 35.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-most among all QBs.
  • Dak Prescott's 69.0% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteable growth in his throwing precision over last season's 65.0% figure.
  • Dak Prescott has been one of the top touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a stellar 1.89 per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • This year, the stout Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up a meager 1.33 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-best rate in the league.

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