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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.
  • Dak Prescott's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.4% to 69.8%.
  • The Chargers defense has surrendered the most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.75 per game this year.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In this contest, Dak Prescott is expected by the projections to average the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.9.

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