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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Dak Prescott's 72.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a a significant improvement in his passing precision over last year's 65.4% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 46.2% red zone pass rate.

This year, the daunting 49ers defense has surrendered a puny 1.00 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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