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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Dak Prescott has been among the top touchdown throwers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 1.77 per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 32.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (66.3%).

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