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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
  • Dak Prescott's 5.41 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a remarkable boost in his rushing ability over last season's 4.48 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 38.2% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Dak Prescott to accumulate 2.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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