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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 58.8 plays per game.
  • Dak Prescott has run for quite a few more yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
  • Dak Prescott's rushing efficiency has gotten better this season, averaging 5.39 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.48 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • In this week's game, Dak Prescott is forecasted by the predictive model to garner the 9th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.8.
  • This year, the porous Detroit Lions run defense has surrendered a staggering 4.05 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 24th-highest rate in the NFL.

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