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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cowboys.

Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats too low) as a result of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are big -7.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 38.6% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect Dak Prescott to accumulate 2.3 carries in this contest, on balance: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Dak Prescott has averaged a mere 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the smallest marks in the NFL among QBs (22nd percentile).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games last year, conceding just 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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