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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.

The New York Jets safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Dak Prescott's running efficiency (4.06 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (22nd percentile among quarterbacks).

The New York Jets defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.

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