Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (12.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.7% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, yielding just 4.28 yards-per-carry.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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