Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2025

Updated Nov 4, 2025 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 267.5 (-111/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 261.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 267.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.
With a remarkable total of 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Dak Prescott stands as one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year.
Dak Prescott's passing precision has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.0% to 70.7%.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 131.2 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
In this game, Dak Prescott is expected by the projection model to total the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.6.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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