Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 15, 2025 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 264.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 264.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 264.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.40 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
This week, Dak Prescott is expected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.5.
Dak Prescott has thrown for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (274.0) this year than he did last year (244.0).

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 5 points.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
This year, the imposing Vikings defense has allowed a paltry 179.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the best in football.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in football versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).

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